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Because of RCI, some families rarely return to the timeshare that they originally purchased The method whereby these timeshare owners are originally acquired has become quite scienti c and interesting Most developers of timeshares sell tours as an acquisition method A tour is a weekend vacation that is offered to a family at below market rates at prices as low as $50 for a 3-day family vacation at a hotel that is near a timeshare property While they are at the hotel, as part of their payment for the weekend vacation, families are asked or required to take a tour of the timeshare and hear a pitch on the value of owning a timeshare Most tour operators report that about 10 percent of the families that take a tour end up buying a timeshare, at prices ranging from $10,000 to $25,000 for 1 week.

While the stock index bond, currency, metal, energy, livestock, and grain markets all have representation, several markets (eg, the Nikkei Index and Natural Gas) would have improved the balance of the portfolio, but were not included due to the lack of a sufficient history In the chapters that follow, entry models am tested both on the complete standard portfolio and on the individual markets that compose it Since a good system should be able to trade a variety of markets with the same parameters, the systems were not optimized for individual markets, only for the entire portfolio Given the number of data points available, optimizing on specific markets could lead to undesirable curve-fitting Unless otherwise noted, quotes from August 1, 1985, through December 31, 1994, are treated as in-sample or optimization data, while those from January 1, 1995, through February 1,1999, are used for out-of-sample verification.

The process of acquiring timeshare owners, therefore, has become a process of selling tours If you can get people to take a tour, you can be con dent that one in ten will make a purchase The methods for tour selling have become very scienti c Direct mail is used to offer households within 90 minutes driving distance of a timeshare resort a weekend at a nearby hotel at a xed below-market price The response rate to such direct-mail solicitations is about 4 10 of 1 percent Telemarketing then takes over to sign the respondents up for a tour Here, again, scienti c methods are used Those who refuse a tour in June will be called again about touring in July, or August, or some other month Call until they tour or die is the basic philosophy And it works.

The number of contracts traded is adjusted to achieve a constant effective dollar volatility across all markets and time periods; in this way, each market and time period is more comparable with other markets and periods, and contributes about equally to the complete portfolio in terms of potential risk and reward All tests use the same standardized exit technique to allow meaningful performance comparisons between entry methods..

Timeshares are one of the most pro table industries in the United States Some interesting lessons have been learned in the course of acquiring timeshare customers These lessons can be useful in other industries For example: Vacation packages can be sold with a hook (a requirement that the family listen to a pitch about the timeshare) or no hook (no pitch requirement) Statistics show that no-hook recipients are more likely to buy a timeshare than hook recipients Why should this be so A hook family has steeled itself in advance against the timeshare pitch: OK, we will take their vacation, but we are certainly not going to plunk down money for a timeshare The no-hook family s thinking is entirely different Without the hook, the family members arrive.

A breakout model enters the market long when prices break above an upper band or threshold, and enters short when they drop below a lower band or threshold. Entry models based on breakouts range from the simple to the complex, differing primarily in how the placement of the bands or thresholds is determined, and in how entry is achieved.

hen I give talks on health, the one question that comes up over and over again is What do you eat I can understand the curiosity and the assumption that a good nutrition researcher ought to practice what he preaches. And I do. That s why the recipes, many of which are my own, make up such a large part of this book. The recipes are divided into sections such as soups and pasta dishes. We ll begin with the recipes for the first meal of the day.